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Description
SpaceX and OpenAI IPO timing is the focus: the market resolves to SpaceX if SpaceX completes an IPO before OpenAI does, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; OpenAI resolves if it IPOs first under the same deadline. If neither IPO occurs by the deadline, both IPOs occur on the same day, or both become unable to complete an IPO, the market resolves 50-50. Resolution relies on official company announcements and credible reporting.
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Related events
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?SpaceX IPO by ___ ?OpenAI IPO by...?OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapLead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? | SpaceX | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.