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Description
Stripe and PayPal are at the center of a potential acquisition scenario for 2026. The market resolves to Yes if an official announcement confirms that PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with a controlling stake transferred to Stripe. An acquisition announcement by PayPal or a PayPal-Stripe merger also qualifies for Yes. If no qualifying announcement occurs by the deadline, the market resolves to No. Resolution sources include official statements from PayPal and Stripe or credible reporting consensus when necessary.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.