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Description
Tidö coalition parties—Sweden Democrats, Moderate Party, Christian Democrats, and Liberals—face a 2026 Swedish parliamentary election on September 13, 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if those four parties together secure 175 or more seats; otherwise the market resolves to No. If voting does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles No. Settlement relies on the final official results reported by Valmyndigheten, or credible reporting if needed for clarity.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag). This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).