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Description
Will TikTok be banned by March 31? is a U.S. policy outcome around a government ban that would block access to or use of the TikTok app by a majority of Americans. The market resolves to Yes if a ban becomes legally enforceable at any time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A No resolution occurs if TikTok comes into compliance with U.S. laws or is sold to a entity that enables compliance, or if enforcement does not take effect within the window. If the executive order delaying enforcement expires or is removed without compliance, this market also resolves to Yes. The primary resolution source is U.S. federal government information, with credible reporting consensus as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TikTok be banned by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government. If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.