Price history
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Description
Will Trump publicly insult someone on a specific date? Trump must make a public statement on the given date that insults, mocks, or attacks a real person in a clearly negative way. A direct reference counts if the target is identifiable from context. Statements can be written or spoken and are resolved by credible reporting on that date.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
20
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 11 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 12 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 13 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 14 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 15 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 16 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 17 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 18 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 20 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 21 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 22 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 23 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 24 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 25 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 26 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 27 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 29 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.