Description
1st hottest: June 2026 is tied for the hottest June on record or exceeds all prior Junes based on NASA’s GLB Ts+dSST table Jun data. Settlement follows the June value from NASA data or credible reporting if NASA data is unavailable.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
May 26, 2026, 23:36
Resolve date
Jul 9, 2026, 17:03
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st hottest | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2nd hottest | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 3rd hottest | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th or lower | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record. Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.