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Description
AI data center in space by...? is a binary market about whether an orbital data center is successfully launched by the stated deadline. A successful launch means a spacecraft carrying at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or equivalent compute processors is placed into Earth orbit, with a credible reporting consensus used to settle. If a qualifying orbital data center launches by 11:59 PM ET on the given date, the Yes outcome resolves; otherwise No.
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2
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.