Description
Yes: a state-of-the-art AI model scores 90% or higher on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Settlement relies on EpochAI results, with credible reporting consensus allowed if needed.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Nov 12, 2025, 22:16
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.