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1
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | Δ 24h | Δ 7d | Δ 30d | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.