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Description
Apple’s iPhone line is in focus as to whether Apple will release iPhone 18 in 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise, No. A qualifying product must be named iPhone and a true successor to the original line, with a release that is publicly available for purchase within the timeframe; an unveiling alone does not suffice. Resolution sources: official Apple statements or a credible consensus of reporting if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.