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Description
Apple will release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31, 2026. A qualifying product must be named Apple TV and serve as a successor to the original device, with official Apple announcement or public availability by the deadline. An unveiling alone can resolve Yes, and a non-numbered successor that preserves core functions while expanding features also qualifies. The resolution source is official Apple statements, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.