Description
$15B FDV threshold: Yes if Arc’s FDV exceeds $15,000,000,000 1 day after launch (4:00 PM ET following launch) using the most liquid price source; otherwise No.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
May 12, 2026, 21:30
Resolve date
Jan 1, 2028, 05:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Halted
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".