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Description
Arizona voters will decide on HCR 2003 in the statewide general election on November 3, 2026. The measure would restrict access in sports leagues, locker rooms, and restrooms based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate. Resolution follows the official November 2026 election results, or, if the measure does not appear or results are unclear by March 31, 2027, resolves to No. Credible reporting consensus governs settlement, with official Arizona sources as the tiebreaker if ambiguity exists.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).