Muchelle Ugenti-Rita to win the AZ-01 Republican primary for the 2026 U.S. House seat. Settlement follows the official Republican nomination; nominee changes before election day do not affect the result. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gina Swoboda | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Matt Gress | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jason Duey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joseph Chaplik | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Muchelle Ugenti-Rita | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Todd Graham | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mark Brnovich | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kari Lake | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jay Feely | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Derrick Gallego | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kaitlin Purrington | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Paul Reevs | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brandon Sowers | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Trobough | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.