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Description
Bank of Japan Policy Decision in July involves the July 31, 2026 statement detailing changes to the short-term policy rate. The market resolves to the bracket reflecting how many basis points the upper bound is changed relative to the prior level, with rounding to the nearest 25 bps if necessary. Settlement sources are the BoJ website or credible reporting consensus if needed; if no statement is released by the end date, the market resolves to No change.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
5
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ bps decrease | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 25 bps decrease | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No change | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 25 bps increase | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 50+ bps increase | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.