AfD to finish third in the Abgeordnetehaus after the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election. Settlement follows official results, with tie-breakers by Zweitstimme totals and alphabetic order if necessary; if no election occurs by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AfD | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Grüne | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SPD | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FDP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Linke | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FW | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BSW | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)