Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Best Chinese AI Company end of June? The market compares Chinese models by their arena rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard as of June 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The top company by rank wins, with tie-breakers by Arena score and, if needed, alphabetical order of company names. Resolution relies on the Leaderboard's Rank column in the Text Arena | Overall view at lmarena.ai.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
25
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Who will acquire TikTok?Best Chinese AI Company end of July?Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?Largest Company end of June?Which company has best AI model end of June?Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SpaceX IPO Closing Market CapClaude Mythos released by…?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alibaba | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Xiaomi | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| StepFun | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tencent | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MiniMax | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company M | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.