Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? is a binary event about whether China launches a military offensive intended to control any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Territory under ROC rule, including inhabited islands, qualifies; uninhabited islands do not. Resolution follows official confirmations or a credible reporting consensus if needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?China x Japan military clash before 2027?China coup attempt before 2027?Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?China x India military clash by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.