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Description
Brazil’s 2026 presidential first round includes ten named candidates: Tarcisio de Freitas, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Jair Bolsonaro, Fernando Haddad, Michelle Bolsonaro, Eduardo Bolsonaro, Ratinho Júnior, Renan Santos, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Camilo Santana, Geraldo Alckmin. This market resolves to the candidate who finishes second in votes after applying a tie-break by last name alphabetically if needed; if the final result is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, it settles to Other. Settlement uses a consensus of credible reporting or, if ambiguous, official results from the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
Event stats
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Markets
32
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcisio de Freitas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jair Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ratinho Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Renan Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ronaldo Caiado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Romeu Zema | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Camilo Santana | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Geraldo Alckmin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aldo Rebelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Leite | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tereza Cristina | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Helder Barbalho | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).