Description
CA-04 Primary Winners selects the two candidates who receive the most votes in the California 4th district primary on June 2, 2026. Nominees are determined by vote totals; if no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Resolution relies on a consensus of official sources, including the California Secretary of State's announcements.
Event stats
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thompson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sharon Brown | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heath Fulkerson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mandy Ghusar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eric Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Laurie MacKenzie | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trevor Merrell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Wesley Tyler | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.