Description
Laurie MacKenzie to be one of the top two vote-getters in the CA-04 primary on June 2, 2026. Settlement follows the official results announcing the two nominees; replacement nominees before election day do not affect the market.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
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Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Feb 26, 2026, 22:40
Resolve date
Jun 2, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thompson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sharon Brown | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heath Fulkerson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mandy Ghusar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eric Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Laurie MacKenzie | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Trevor Merrell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Wesley Tyler | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.