Esther Kim Varet to advance from the CA-40 primary to contest the 40th district seat in the 2026 midterms. Settlement follows the first official announcement that a candidate advances; replacements before election day do not affect this market.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Keissieh | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Esther Kim Varet | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Francis Hoffman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Kerr | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ken Calvert | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lisa Ramirez | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nina Linh | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Young Kim | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 40th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.