Derek Tran to advance from the California 45th district primary to contest the seat in the 2026 midterms. Settlement follows official-source consensus if he is a nominee; No if not; Other only if no nominees announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Phan West | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chi Charlie Nguyen | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chuong Vo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Derek Tran | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mark Leonard | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tom Vo | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.