Description
Alex Padilla to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election. Settlement follows AP, Fox News, and NBC calling Padilla the victor; if results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market settles to Other.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
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Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Oct 9, 2025, 23:29
Resolve date
Nov 3, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Caruso | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Padilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Katie Porter | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steve Hilton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Xavier Becerra | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Cloobeck | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Butch Ware | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Betty Yee | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Toni Atkins | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kyle Langford | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chad Bianco | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eleni Kounalakis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Mercuri | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tony Thurmond | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Younger | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Leo Zacky | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicole Shanahan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eric Swalwell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tom Steyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kamala Harris | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Matt Mahan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elaine Culotti | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.