↑ 1500: A model reaches an Arena Score of 1500 or higher on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Resolution based on the Text Arena leaderboard scores from lmarena.ai; if the leaderboard is unavailable, the market remains open until accessible, or resolves to No if permanently unavailable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".