Description
2.5% or higher: CPI year-over-year growth through December 2026 is at least 2.5%, per the December 2026 NBS report.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jan 22, 2026, 00:30
Resolve date
Jan 10, 2027, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <-1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -0.9 – -0.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -0.4 – 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 0.1 – 0.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 0.6 – 1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.1 – 1.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.6 – 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.5%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.0-2.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/