Description
Yes: Claudia Sheinbaum announces resignation or ceases to be President by June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Immediate Yes on any official resignation announcement; settlement via government or credible reporting if needed.
Yes: Claudia Sheinbaum announces resignation or ceases to be President by June 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Immediate Yes on any official resignation announcement; settlement via government or credible reporting if needed.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.