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Description
Colorado Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory is defined by the absolute gap between the top two candidates' share of valid votes in the June 30, 2026 Colorado GOP gubernatorial primary. The margin brackets depend on the reported official results from the Colorado Secretary of State; if tied, the alphabetically earlier listed candidate determines the bracket. If results are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, the market resolves to Other. Recounts keep the market open until totals are certified.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
11
Market highlights
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Top market
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Related events
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Colorado Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary WinnerColorado Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerCO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerFL-23 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirkmeyer 4%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kirkmeyer 3–4% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kirkmeyer 2–3% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kirkmeyer 1–2% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kirkmeyer <1% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marx <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marx 1–2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marx 2–3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marx 3–4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marx 4%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Colorado Gubernatorial Republican primary election was held on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Colorado Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.