Description
Yes: a laboratory-confirmed Screwworm infection is identified in a U.S. livestock state other than Texas on or before December 31, 11:59 PM ET, resolving from CDC/USDA confirmation or credible reporting consensus.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 10, 2026, 02:19
Resolve date
—
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.