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Description
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? This event resolves as Yes if any fund with at least $250,000,000 in holdings of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) forms a 25%+ allocation to IBIT and, in Q1 2026, shows IBIT holdings of $10,000,000 or less in its 13F filing, with the public disclosure occurring in Q3 2025 or Q4 2025. If no such filing meets the criteria, the outcome is No. Resolution relies on the first publicly available 13F filing that satisfies the conditions, with information current through May 15, 2026 ET.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any fund with holdings of at least $250,000,000 US in $IBIT (https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf), that forms a holdings allocation of 25% or greater in that asset, in either Q3 2025 or Q4 2025 shows holdings of $10,000,000 or less US in Q1 2026 on their 13F filing (https://www.sec.gov/submit-filings/forms-index) when that information is made public. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on information that is public as of May 15, 2026 ET. The resolution source for this market will be information from the 13F for a specified company.