Description
Ebola case in the US by June 30? is a binary market examining whether a laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection is reported in the United States between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Yes occurs if any active laboratory-confirmed infection is identified within U.S. territory, regardless of exposure or testing location; No if none are reported by the deadline. Settlement relies on official government information or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.