Riz Ahmed – “Bait” to win the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie. Settlement follows the Academy’s official winner announcements; if no winner is declared by Oct 31, 2026, alphabetically first nominee is considered the winner.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riz Ahmed – “Bait” | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Oscar Isaac – “Beef” | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.