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Description
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? is a yes/no market on whether John Fetterman publicly announces leaving the Democratic Party by 11:59 PM ET. A formal departure to another party or independent status, or credible reporting confirming a formal departure, resolves to Yes; otherwise, No. Official information from Fetterman is the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.