Price history
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Description
GOP use of a nuclear option to break a filibuster is evaluated by whether the Senate passes a cloture motion ending debate on any part of the legislative process with Yea votes below three-fifths by October 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET). Confirmations, counted as advice and consent, do not count toward the resolution. The official U.S. government source will determine settlement.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
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24h loser
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Top market
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.