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Description
Trump visit to China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET is evaluated against whether the President physically enters China's terrestrial or maritime territory. Resolution sources include official US government statements, Trump or verified posts, and credible reporting consensus if needed. If the visit occurs by the deadline, Yes; otherwise No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
9
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.