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Description
Which countries will Donald Trump secure new free trade deals with by December 31, 2026? Markets cover the European Union, India, Canada, Brazil, Japan, Indonesia, Argentina, Vietnam, Australia, Mexico, South Korea, Israel, Pakistan, United Kingdom, Russia, South Africa, and Taiwan. Each outcome resolves to Yes if a free trade agreement with the specified country becomes law in the United States by the deadline, via Senate ratification and Presidential approval or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law, with credible reporting as the resolution source.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
17
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Union | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| India | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Canada | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brazil | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Japan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Indonesia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Argentina | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vietnam | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Australia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mexico | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| South Korea | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Israel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pakistan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| United Kingdom | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Russia | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| South Africa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Taiwan | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.