Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Iran military action against ___ by March 31?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.