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Description
Iran may close the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026. If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the Yes outcome resolves in its favor; otherwise the No outcome applies. The resolution relies on official government information or, if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
6
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.