Description
Yes: Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Settlement uses official government information, with credible reporting as fallback.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Nov 5, 2025, 16:27
Resolve date
Mar 14, 2026, 00:36
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.