Yes: Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by January 31, 2026? Wait, must reflect actual date in market. This market is named January 31. Describe: Iran halts or severely restricts maritime traffic by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Settlement via official sources or credible reporting.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.