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Description
The US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? markets adjudicate whether an official mutual agreement on Iranian nuclear research and/or weapon development is publicly announced between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If such an agreement is announced by that date, the Yes outcome resolves; if not, the No outcome resolves. Multilateral agreements involving both countries also qualify, with settlement based on an official announcement or credible reporting consensus as the resolution source.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.