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Description
Will the United States formally declare war on Iran by a specified date? Markets watch for a Congressional declaration of war enacted into law. If Congress passes a formal declaration of war between market creation and the given deadline (11:59 PM ET), the Yes outcome resolves; otherwise, No. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
3
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.