Description
Yes: Trump visits China by April 30, 2026 and enters Chinese territory. Settlement relies on official sources or credible reporting if needed through that date.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Nov 26, 2025, 22:30
Resolve date
May 1, 2026, 07:05
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.