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Description
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? is a binary market on whether President Donald Trump announces his resignation by the end of 2026. Resolution occurs if Trump states he has resigned or will resign by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026; a resignation actualization is not required. If resignation becomes impossible, the market resolves to No. The primary resolution source is official information from the US federal government, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.