Description
No release by May 31: Gemini 3.2 has not yet been publicly accessible by Google per the stated criteria; if still unavailable, the market resolves to No release by May 31.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
May 5, 2026, 23:48
Resolve date
May 19, 2026, 20:27
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On or prior to May 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 19 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No release by May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.