Description
July 10: GPT-5.6 publicly accessible on July 10, 2026 (ET) per OpenAI announcement or credible reporting.
July 10: GPT-5.6 publicly accessible on July 10, 2026 (ET) per OpenAI announcement or credible reporting.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24 or earlier | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 1 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 2 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 9 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Not released before August | No | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.