George Lucas-Tadeo to win the Hawaii Democratic primary for Governor in 2026. Settlement follows the first official Democratic announcement of the nominee; if no nominee is declared by November 3, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Green | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Bourgoin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lauren Kapoliahi'laka Shim | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| George Lucas-Tadeo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.