Description
No Handshake: The meeting day passes without a handshake, or no meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Resolution follows the absence of a qualifying handshake on video footage from that date.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Feb 11, 2026, 00:00
Resolve date
May 14, 2026, 06:07
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Handshake | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| <2s | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2–6s | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 6–10s | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 10–15s | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 15s+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Photographed only | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.