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Description
IUML seat projections in Kerala's 2026 Legislative Assembly elections are presented as six outcome brackets for the number of seats won by IUML: <10, 10–12, 13–15, 16–18, 19–21, and 22+. The market settles based on the official results reported by the Election Commission of India, with a credible-reporting consensus acceptable if needed; if results are not definitively known by October 31, 2026, the market resolves to the lowest bracket. Contingencies include resolution by the greatest-confirmed ACs in official reports if discrepancies arise.
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Rules
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).