Description
4.50%+ year-on-year CPI change for India in the 12 months ending December 2026. Settlement follows MoSPI’s December 2026 YoY CPI figure; if December data is unavailable, uses the last available MoSPI month.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Feb 9, 2026, 23:40
Resolve date
Jan 12, 2027, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <0.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 0.75% to 1.49% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50% to 2.24% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25% to 2.99% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00% to 3.74% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.75% to 4.49% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.50%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf